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1 in 8 Chance of Catastrophic Solar Megastorm by 2020

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The Earth has a roughly 12 percent chance of witnessing an enormous megaflare erupting from the sun in the next decade. This event could potentially cause trillions of dollars' worth of damage and take up to a decade to recover from.
The Earth has a roughly 12 percent chance of witnessing an enormous megaflare erupting from the sun in the next decade. This event could potentially cause trillions of dollars' worth of damage and take up to a decade to recover from.

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What impact can space storms have on Earth and its technology? - Quora

Probability estimation of a catastrophic Carrington−like geomagnetic storm